Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Leyline | czechito | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| itstime | 5-2 | None | |
| itstime | 5-2 | None | |
| Gruul Leyline | itstime | 4-2 | None |
| Gruul Leyline | itstime | 4-3 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Big Red , Boros Aggro , Boros Burn , Boros Convoke , Goblins , Gruul Aggro , Gruul Leyline , Mono Red Goblins , Rakdos Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Count on Luck ranks #290 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 71%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 67.0%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Count on Luck is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 3.18 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 73.6%. Count on Luck has a win rate of 66.7%, making it 9.4% worse than other 3-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Count on Luck than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold Mouse | Creature — Mouse Soldier | 2 | 5 | 64.5% | 69.0% | -4.4% |
| Lithomantic Barrage | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 64.5% | 69.0% | -4.5% |
| Heartfire Hero | Creature — Mouse Soldier | 1 | 5 | 64.5% | 69.1% | -4.6% |
| Emberheart Challenger | Creature — Mouse Warrior | 2 | 5 | 64.5% | 69.1% | -4.6% |
| Pick Your Poison | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 64.5% | 69.8% | -5.3% |
| Obstinate Baloth | Creature — Beast | 4 | 5 | 64.5% | 70.5% | -6.0% |
| Monstrous Rage | Instant | 1 | 5 | 64.5% | 70.5% | -6.0% |
| Cacophony Scamp | Creature — Phyrexian Goblin Warrior | 1 | 5 | 64.5% | 70.6% | -6.1% |
| Leyline of Resonance | Enchantment | 4 | 5 | 64.5% | 70.6% | -6.1% |
| Leyline of the Void | Enchantment | 4 | 5 | 64.5% | 70.7% | -6.2% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Leyline | 31 | 16.2% | 65.2% |
| Red Deck Wins | 7 | 0.5% | 28.6% |
| Boros Burn | 3 | 0.8% | 83.3% |
| Goblins | 3 | 9.1% | 54.2% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 71.4% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.